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Research by Djordje Djukic and Evan Centanni. Map by onestopmap.com, Djordje Djukic, and Evan Centanni
In the 14 months since our last report, waves of violence have punctuated the new Syrian government's mostly-successful consolidation of power. Most recently, Kurdish-led SDF forces have retreated - in the face of a government offensive and widespread defection of non-Kurdish units - from most of the independently-governed zone they've long guarded across north and east Syria.
Before that, major campaigns included a brief but bloody rebellion in Syria's coastal provinces, then a small war over Suwayda province in the south. In both cases, government and allied forces carried out apparently genocidal massacres of civilians from religious minority communities: first targeting Alawite people near the coast, then Druze people in Suwayda.
Meanwhile, the so-called "Islamic State" (ISIS/ISIL) has renewed its insurgency in Syria, while some of its fighters - and tens of thousands of their family members - are believed to be free after the messy transition of detention camps from SDF to Syrian government control. Elsewhere, Israel has expanded its occupation in the southeast, Russia has maintained its bases in the country, and the US military is in the process of withdrawing.
All your questions are answered in the detailed, carefully-researched timeline included with this report, covering events since our previous report of January 9, 2025 (more than one year ago), with sources cited. The report also includes fuller summaries of major trends, and of course an update to PolGeoNow's concise, professionally-designed overview map of territorial control in Syria.
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Exclusive map report includes:
- Up-to-date illustration of current territorial control in Syria (excluding the Israeli-annexed Golan Heights), color-coded for the new Syrian Transitional Government (STG), formed from former rebel groups led by Ahmed al-Sharaa; the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and affiliated Asayish police; resurgent forces of the so-called "Islamic State" (ISIS/ISIL); the Israeli military (IDF), and the newly-unified, government-resistant Druze paramilitary group known as the National Guard.
- Markers showing the location of Russian and US military bases
- Illustration of major 2026 active zones for "Islamic State" (ISIS/ISIL) operatives in areas outside the group's control, approximated from ACLED data on incidents both targeting them and perpetrated by them.
- Detailed indication of city-by-city control, including key towns and other locations important to current events
- Locations of recent control changes and other important events, including Shadadi, Al-Hol, Rmeilan, Qasrak base, Kobani, the Tishrin Dam, Sarrin, Qatana, Jableh, Baniyas, Hmeimim airbase, Mount Hermon, Qalaat al-Jandal, the Bishri Mountains, the Safa lava fields, and many more
- Concise, beginner-friendly summary of the current situation and key events from early 2025 to present, covering major developments and trends for each of Syria's major armed parties
- Detailed timeline of changes to territorial control, major military events, and civilian mass casualty incidents since January 9, 2025, with explanations of the political background and links to sources.
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